The Rockets provide value to bettors at +1500 odds to win the Larry
The Houston Rockets have largely been dismissed as credible contenders
for the NBA championship. Coach Mike D’Antoni’s small-ball lineups
featuring 6’5 PJ Tucker as Houston’s starting center have been
dismissed as gimmicks. However, there is value for bettors to take a
flyer on the Rockets winning the championship at +1500 odds.
The truncated season works to the Rockets’ advantage. The challenge
with the Rockets’ small-ball approach is that their players tire out
through the course of a long season from having to expend so much
energy defending bigger players. This concern should be mitigated by
the fact that there are only eight games left in the regular season.
- In the past, former MVPs James Harden and Russell Westbrook
who both have the ability to majorly impact NBA spreads,
have struggled in the playoffs after playing so many regular season
minutes. Thanks to the four-month layoff, the Rockets should get the
best of a fresh and rested duo of Harden and Westbrook.
The end of the regular season and start of the playoffs may resemble
scrimmages without fans in attendance. This environment should help a
team like the Rockets that relies heavily on the three-point shot.
The Rockets are currently the sixth seed in the Western Conference. The
team that ended Houston’s championship aspirations the two previous
seasons, the Golden State Warriors, have been eliminated from playoff
is tough to think of a team that benefited more from the season’s
suspension and the shortened regular season than the Rockets.
D’Antoni’s small-ball approach has plenty of critics. D’Antoni plays a
short rotation where the tallest player on the court for Houston most
of the time is 6’7 forward Robert Covington. Even supporters of
D’Antoni’s approach worried that the Rockets’ smaller players would
simply run out of gas by playoff time from having to play undersized
through a long season.
With only eight games left in the regular
season, these concerns should be alleviated. D’Antoni is free to run
his short rotation as hard as possible without having to worry about
exhausting the energy of his players. Houston’s opponents will have
less time to adjust to the Rockets’ unique approach before the playoffs
with the season almost completed.
Rockets’ championship hopes rest on the shoulders of the two former
MVPs on their roster, Harden and Westbrook. Last season, Harden and
Westbrook both played on average over 36 minutes per game, which makes
them a favorite for NBA public betting
and daily fantasy players.. They played so many regular season minutes
that it negatively impacted their playoff performances. In the
2018-2019 regular season, Harden averaged 36.1 points per game for the
Rockets while Russell Westbrook shot 42.8% from the field for the
Oklahoma City Thunder. In the 2019 playoffs, Harden’s scoring average
dipped to 31.6 points per game while Westbrook’s field goal percentage
fell off a cliff to 36%.
The Rockets will be getting a rested
Harden and Westbrook for the stretch run. Houston should be hopeful
that the four-month layoff provided Harden and Westbrook with enough
rest so that their playoff performances will not decline like they have
NBA season will resume in Orlando without arenas filled with fans. The
environment at these games will resemble scrimmages more so than
professional basketball games. A scrimmage-type game should favor teams
with an offensive arsenal that relies heavily on three-pointers. The
Rockets led the NBA in three-point field goals made per game at the
time of the season’s suspension. If you are a betting man keep your eye
on the Rockets over under
line for three pointers. This may be an easy way to make some
cash during the NBA playoffs.
Rockets are a clear underdog to win the NBA championship. However,
bettors should remember that the only team that has beaten the Rockets
the last two seasons was the Stephen Curry-Kevin Durant led Golden
State Warriors. The Rockets are worth a small investment at +1500 odds
to bring the Larry O’Brien trophy back to Clutch City.